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Published Paper

2959-0930

Review of Development Finance

Review of Development Finance

The Effect of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on Public Spending: A Perspective on the External Debt and Shadow Economy

Nguyen, C. P., & Schinckus, et al

DOI:
​Keywords:

Nguyễn Phúc Cảnh

Cảnh Nguyễn

Abstract

This study examines the effects of global uncertainty and its associations with each country’s external debt and shadow economy on the government expenditures for a sample of 69 low and middle-income economies. Firstly, a higher external debt and a higher shadow economy reduce the ratio of government consumption to output. Secondly, an increase in the Global Economic Policy Uncertainty decreases government expenditures suggesting a negative effect of uncertainty on public spending in low and middle-income economies. Thirdly, the effect of the global EPU on public spending is weaker in countries with high external debt or shadow economy.

Nguyen, C. P., & Schinckus, et al (2022), "The Effect of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on Public Spending: A Perspective on the External Debt and Shadow Economy", Review of Development Finance, 12, (1)

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