Vietnam's Economic Growth Forecast 2026

This report assesses Vietnam's economic performance in 2025 and develops forecasts for 2026 using the Dynamic Model Averaging (DMA) method. In 2025, Vietnam's economy achieved growth of 8.02%, exceeding both its target and the forecasts of international organisations. Inflation was well controlled at 3.31%. The labour market remained stable and FDI rose strongly, particularly into high-technology sectors. For 2026, GDP growth is forecast at 6.8%, while inflation is expected to remain low at 3.54%. The outlook is affected by global trade policy uncertainty but supported by a wave of high-technology investment. The report sets out policy recommendations on macroeconomic management, trade, human resource development and technology.